7-0 Global Reaction to the May 2025 Air Battle

The May 2025 Air war between India and Pakistan was a unique development in the history of warfare, where Pakistan Air Force (PAF) downed 7 jets of the Indian Air Force (IAF), within a matter of minutes. It astonished observers all across the globe, considering the comparable difference in the size of both forces and their respective performance. One year ahead of the May 2025 Air War between India and Pakistan, failure of the Indian narrative in the face of the globally acclaimed Air dominance of PAF has shifted the global posture in favour of Pakistan. The military, strategic, and economic response from the international actors has certified the victory of Pakistan against the Indian misadventure. Militarily, the peculiar dynamics of the conflict attracted significant global attention. Military strategists focused on the tactics and technologies used by PAF and extracted Air doctrine lessons from the conflict. The IAF had a two-fold

Continue Reading7-0 Global Reaction to the May 2025 Air Battle

The First Drone War in South Asia: May 2025

The four-day India-Pakistan conflict saw the emergence of drone warfare as a new strategic reality in the South Asian theatre. Drawing inferences from the Russia-Ukraine war, both sides deployed drones for precision targeting, probing air defences, and performing intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) tasks. The conflict marked a qualitative escalation where unmanned systems were used for coercive targeting besides their utility for tactical surveillance and reconnaissance. The loss of 7 top-of-the-line fighter aircraft in the initial phase of battle swiftly ended the Indian Air Force (IAF) bid for air dominance, forcing it to retreat to the rear bases. The loss of control of air created a decision dilemma and operational pause for the Indian leadership, compounded by the absence of a coherent strategic direction

Continue ReadingThe First Drone War in South Asia: May 2025

Prepared to Prevail: PAF’s Road to May 2025

Operation Bunyan-um-Marsoos was a watershed moment for the air forces of Pakistan and India. The silent years of Pakistan Air Force (PAF)’s preparation that led to the outstanding outcome of the May 2025 war continue to be of global interest. With international air forces studying PAF’s kill chain model and arms markets prioritising Chinese platforms, because of how they were operated by Pakistani pilots, PAF carries the honour of being a formidable air force that has made the world rethink airpower and the future of air combat. However, before May 2025, it was 2019’s Operation Swift Retort that had set the tone for PAF’s response to any future aggressive action by the adversary. Pakistan clearly anticipated that India would repeat its tactics and therefore remained prepared. It consolidated its capability and capacity in the face of the perpetual threat of India's misadventure. Post Balakot incident, PAF continued to crystallise its offensive defence doctrine, in which decisive air actions would be executed to uphold deterrence without triggering uncontrollable escalation.

Continue ReadingPrepared to Prevail: PAF’s Road to May 2025

Marka-e-Haq and the Air Defense Grammar of Aerial Warfare

Marka-e-Haq transformed the May 2025 battlefield into a testing ground, where integrated doctrine and advanced technology redefined the future of aerial warfare. The war provided a paradigmatic example, where a well-integrated air-defence architecture and offensive-defence strategy could successfully counter even the most advanced threats. The unified air-defence architecture of Pakistan transformed numerical disadvantage into strategic superiority, providing crucial lessons on the need to integrate systems and employ multi-domain synergy in the twenty-first century. The May war was more than a fight in the air; it demonstrated that comprehensive planning, innovative technology, and a multi-layered defence can turn the tide in modern war.

Continue ReadingMarka-e-Haq and the Air Defense Grammar of Aerial Warfare

Rafale Slayer The J-10C: What May 2025 Exposed

The May 2025 conflict between India and Pakistan fundamentally altered the course of modern aerial warfare. From the very onset of the conflict, the superiority of PAF over its adversary became abundantly clear as it in quick succession it shot down seven Indian aircraft without suffering even a single loss. PAF employed J-10Cs fighter aircraft, and the score of 7-Nil became even more striking since four of the downed Indian aircraft were Rafales. These were the same Rafale fighters that were being presented as a hallmark of armed forces modernisation by Indian politicians, military leaders, and analysts. However, the combat loss of Rafale jets to J-10Cs not only shattered the assumptions about technological superiority in the battlefield but also solidified the critical role played by the, strategy, tactics and training in air combat. Yet this cannot be viewed as an isolated incident as it was a direct outcome of the contrasting training, procurement strategy and platform integration by both sides

Continue ReadingRafale Slayer The J-10C: What May 2025 Exposed

Inside the PAF Kill Chain – May 2025 Air Operations Explained

  • Post author:

Air combat has come a long way from traditional visual based kinetic manoeuvre warfare. Modern aerial combat relies heavily on technological sophistication which has given the birth to new concepts such as Beyond Visual Range (BVR) capability, multi domain operations, systems and network centric warfare. This complex web of intertwined capabilities, platforms and domains culminates into a single kill chain providing a firing solution. On 7 May 2025, Pakistan Air Force (PAF) demonstrated its superiority over its archival India by shooting down seven of its aircraft. The PAF achieved this feat by compressing its kill chain while simultaneously disrupting the adversary’s targeting cycle. The Air & Space Forces Magazine defines Kill Chain as a process used to put munitions on a specified target. This complex process is broken into five different parts

Continue ReadingInside the PAF Kill Chain – May 2025 Air Operations Explained

May 2025 Air War: From Assumed Superiority to Operational Shock

n the night of 6-7 May 2025, the Indian Air Force (IAF) faced an unprecedented setback. Pakistan Air Force (PAF)’s downing of seven Indian aircraft during a high-intensity aerial engagement that night, including four state-of-the-art Rafale fighters, regarded as the linchpin of India’s air power modernisation, was a game-changing event.The outcome represented the breakdown of an assumption that had shaped Indian strategic thought in the period following the 2019 India-Pakistan crisis, that is, the belief that advanced fighter aircraft platforms could decisively shape future battlefield outcomes in India’s favour.In 2019, PAF downed IAF’s Sukhoi-30MKI and a MiG-21 Bison in a retaliatory air operation following the Indian Balakot strike, with the MiG-21 crashing in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK), resulting in the capture of its pilot, Wing Commander Abhinandan Varthaman. While Abhinandan was released 60 hours after his capture as a ‘peace gesture,’ the episode marked the first major shock for the IAF, which had been outmanoeuvred by a rival force despite possessing advantages in terms of fleet size, budgetary resources, and force depth.  The lesson was thus unmistakable: conventional military superiority alone cannot guarantee battlefield success.Rather than internalising this implication, the IAF, aligning with the government’s position, underplayed the losses while perpetuating the narrative that the acquisition of more advanced platforms can shape future battlefield outcomes in India’s favour. The then Chief of Air Staff, Air Chief Marshal BS Dhanoa,

Continue ReadingMay 2025 Air War: From Assumed Superiority to Operational Shock

The Cover-up: IAF Narrative of the May 2025 Air Battle

Even after one year since the India-Pakistan May war of 2025, the Indian discourse regarding Operation Sindoor remains uncertain under its pretence of restraint. The Pahalgam attack on 22 April, which killed 26 people, triggered an escalatory spiral. New Delhi quickly accused Pakistan-linked elements, while Islamabad refuted the allegation and demanded an independent investigation. On 7 May, India launched attacks deep inside Pakistan under what it later termed as Operation Sindoor. The political motive was intended to turn the crisis into coercive signalling by shifting the blame onto the enemy and projecting a sense of military superiority. This episode, however, began to fray immediately as war seldom follows the intended script. Within minutes PAF shot down 7 IAF aircraft including 4 Rafales. On 8 May, Reuters reported that at least two Indian aircraft were shot down by a Pakistani J-10C, while the local government sources reported other aircraft crashes in Indian-occupied Jammu and Kashmir

Continue ReadingThe Cover-up: IAF Narrative of the May 2025 Air Battle

Why the IAF’s Post-Sindoor Spending Surge is a Sign of Panic

After Operation Sindoor, India is spending billions of dollars on new weapons. This is being taken by many people as an indication of military prowess. It is not. This rush to procure weapons is in fact an acknowledgement that the Air Force in India had failed to do what it was meant to do. The costly jets and missiles that India had purchased over the years failed to yield the promised results.Sindoor was soon followed by India in sealing the gaps which the operation had exposed. It was reported that Indian Air Force (IAF) is looking to speed up its purchases of more than 7 billion USD. This will involve other Rafale fighter jets with India already ordering 26 more Rafales to the Navy in 2024 at an estimated cost of about 3.9 billion USD. India is also seeking long-range standoff missiles, Israeli loitering munitions and increased drone capabilities. Special financial powers of the Indian military were activated to issue emergency procurement orders. The magnitude and rate of these purchases speak volumes.Indian media and defence analysts have over the years considered the Rafale as a game changer. When India purchased 36 Rafales aircrafts at an approximate cost of 8.7 billion USD, analysts vowed that the aircraft would provide India with air superiority over Pakistan. Operation Sindoor disproved all those allegations. Indian aircraft did not even fly in Pakistani airspace when the fighting started. India solely depended on standoff weapons that were launched at a safe distance. The air defence system of Pakistan, comprising of the HQ-9 surface-to-air missile system and its own fighters, stood its ground.

Continue ReadingWhy the IAF’s Post-Sindoor Spending Surge is a Sign of Panic

May 2025: Mosaic Warfare and the Myth of Centralised Air Power

Visualise a modern-day Air Force commander sitting in the operations room, miles away from the combat zone, overseeing every friendly and enemy aircraft and all assets involved in the campaign. In a split second, he can task a fighter, reposition a drone, and authorise a strike. In today’s promising technological era, he does not even need an operations room; a laptop on his desktop will suffice. The situation looks promising as it offers efficiency, precision, and control. The term used for such operational control is ‘centralisation’, which has been made possible with advanced networking, integrating space, cyber, surveillance, artificial intelligence, and seamless communication, enabling a single commander to manage an entire campaign from a single node. Centralised command and control, championed by the Western air forces and then adopted by many others, has thus been seen as a pinnacle of modern military power. The concept of centralisation, enabled by state-of-the-art networking, may seem promising, but it is nothing more than a myth.

Continue ReadingMay 2025: Mosaic Warfare and the Myth of Centralised Air Power