NTS

The territorial integrity of any sovereign state remains a vital interest for which it can go to war with any adversary. Historically, territorial disputes were the main source of wars and conflicts between nations until the Treaty of Westphalia was signed between the European powers of the time in 1648. The Treaty formally recognised the sovereignty of a state over its territory and ended the prolonged wars between Spain and the Dutch, who were later joined by the Germans as well. While territorial disputes still remain the most compelling cause of military conflicts among nation-states, evolving concepts of security have added newer causes, irritants and threats to states’ survival and well-being of their people.

Whereas the importance of territorial security cannot be overemphasised, the significance of human security has gained more prominence in the changed paradigm. According to the 1994 UN Report, every element of human security-economic, health, food, environmental, personal, community and political security-has an impact on the national security of the state. However, an NTS-Asia study on non-traditional security has included climate change, resource scarcity, natural disasters, infectious diseases, irregular migration, drug trafficking and people smuggling as important contributors to the challenges to national security.

Pakistan faces nearly all of the above-mentioned challenges to its national security. While the Armed Forces of Pakistan have valiantly defended territorial integrity and sovereignty successfully over time, non-traditional security challenges are fast emerging as serious concerns to its overall security in the medium- to long term. Uncontrolled population growth, lack of national integration, increased intolerance in society giving rise to extremism and terrorism, lawlessness, corruption, air pollution, and cyber security also form part of the long list of serious security concerns for Pakistan.

While each element of non-traditional security merits attention, this article will focus on the growing population and its corresponding compound impact on the national security of Pakistan.

Pakistan is the fifth most populous country in the world with over 220 million people and an alarming growth rate of 2 per cent. According to a World Bank report, only a handful of African countries and Afghanistan have a greater population growth rate than Pakistan. The lack of basic amenities like health, education, nutrition, infrastructure, job opportunities etc. has all contributed to the backwardness of Pakistan. According to the Ministry of Federal Education and Professional Training, the current literacy rate of Pakistan stands at 62.3 per cent, meaning over 60 million people are illiterate and perhaps facing extremely hard living conditions to sustain themselves.

Although Pakistan is striving to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with its focus on the 3 Ps ‘People, Planet and Prosperity’, the focus and practical steps needed to control population growth are lacking due to which the SDGs objectives of ending poverty and hunger would remain a far cry in case of Pakistan. Likewise, ‘Prosperity’ as part of desire alone cannot be achieved in a country where some 24 per cent of people are living below the poverty line. Moreover, demographic make-up reflects that over 60 per cent of the population is between the ages of 15-64, whereas 35 per cent are below the age of 14 years. The average age in Pakistan hovers around 22 years, suggesting that Pakistan’s young population urgently needs education, health, job opportunities, and an extremely careful direction in life with regards to societal values. An educated and socially aware youth can be an asset to the nation, but an uneducated and directionless populace can become a serious national security threat in an evolving regional security environment. There is a need for religious moderation under true Islamic teachings to avoid the repeat of mob-lynching incidents of minorities. Then, rising poverty forces children to stay out of schools due to lack of affordability, and assist their parents by doing menial domestic jobs which contributes to frustration, inequality, and illiteracy.

Another factor that is seriously affecting effective control of population growth and numerous other factors related to non-traditional security threats is related to legal and constitutional bindings on the state. Most of these subjects now fall in the domain of Provincial Governments, and therefore the commitments that the Federal Government makes with International Institutions are not accomplished uniformly in time and in the desired manner. Unfortunately, domestic politics at times override serious national objectives and priorities.

There is a need to give equal importance to non-traditional security challenges to ensure that they are addressed with the same vigour and priority as territorial security, so that adversaries are unable to exploit fault-lines, and overall national security of the state is not compromised.

Dr. Zia Ul Haque Shamsi is Director Peace and Conflict Studies at the Centre for Aerospace & Security Studies (CASS), Islamabad, Pakistan. The article was first published in Daily Times. He can be reached at [email protected]

Image Source: Etfa Khurshid Mirza


Share this article

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn

Recent Publications

Browse through the list of recent publications.

The West: The History of an Idea

The world is witnessing the collapse of the Western order, if not the emergence of an alternative one. The idea of ‘West’ as against the rest is still at the root of contemporary understanding of world politics. Georgios Varouxakis, a remarkable voice on Modernity and Nationalism, has provided the historical origins and modern connotations attached with the idea of ‘West’. In his book ‘The West: The History of an Idea’, Varouxakis has argued that the West is not an eternal entity, rather it is a modern socio-political construct that emerged in the political philosophy of the early 19th century and evolved with the passage of time. The book provides an in-depth historical analysis of the idea to determine the roots of its modern interpretation.

Read More »

Space-Enabled Warfare in the 21st Century: Pathways for Developing States

Space has emerged as a distinct domain of warfare alongside land, sea, air, and cyber. Developed countries like the United States, Russia, and China possess offensive and support capabilities in space. In the shadowed expanse of Low Earth Orbit (LEO), where satellites operate like silent custodians, the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine transformed the nature of modern conflict. As Russian troops marched forward, the commercial satellites like Maxar and Planet, which are operated by Western firms, captured high-resolution imagery of Russian troops, providing real-time intelligence to Ukrainian commanders, unlike ever before.

Read More »

The US-Israel War on Iran: Objectives, Strategy, and Escalation Management

Zahra Niazi
‘States tend to overestimate themselves or the benefits and swiftness of war, and to underestimate their opponents’ capabilities, intentions, or the costs and duration of war.’ If anything, the 2026 war initiated by the United States and Israel against Iran shall be remembered in the annals of warfare among the most visible manifestations of this dynamic.
The war, immediately preceded by the January mass protests in Iran, did not represent a sudden rupture but rather the continuation of a 47-year-long confrontation and a more intense phase of the June 2025 war.
The US Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, defined the war’s objectives as being laser-focused: to destroy Iran’s missile capabilities and its security infrastructure, while ensuring that it could never develop nuclear weapons. Beyond these stated objectives, among the priorities on the continuum also lay the objective of regime change, with both President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu explicitly calling on the Iranian population to take over the government at the outset of the war.

Read More »