4. Shaheer Ahmad-OA-VDa-Par-Oped thumbnail-October-2025-APP (1)

Flanked by the columns of advanced tanks, armoured formations, and mobile missile launchers, a solid military brute force of 10,000 soldiers cavalcaded across the pavilion at Tiananmen Square, marking 80 years of Chinese victory against the fascist forces. In the presence of more than 50,000 spectators, the parade was a startling display of stealth fighters, nuclear-capable missiles, Hypersonic and Directed Energy Weapons (DEW), undersea drones, doomsday intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM), and several variants of cruise missiles.  The show came as a surprise to the Western military observers, who had regarded the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) as a ‘paper tiger’, a ‘Potemkin army’, and a colossal entity that is deeply centralised and is not sufficiently seasoned in problem-solving, innovation and adaptive thinking.

Generally, the Chinese PLA is branded as a bureaucratic behemoth and overly centralised force which lacks actual combat experience. A recent report from RAND Corporation describedthe PLA as a monolithic entity incapable of decentralised innovation. It highlighted the challenges PLA faces in attracting the top-tier talent from China’s best universities. Similarly, PLA’s subordination to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which comes at the cost of diminished combat readiness, was a synopsis of another report. In conjunction with this, Timothy R. Heath, a RAND researcher, articulated similar concerns at the June 13 hearing of the US-China Economic and Security Exchange Commission, positing that despite ample evidence of the PLA’s warfighting preparations, little evidence suggests the national leadership’s will to fight a war anytime soon.   

This view is consistent with the consensus that innovation and greater patenting are more associated with democracies than authoritarianism. Less political intervention and decentralisation foster the creation of a robust ecosystem, which is otherwise lacking in authoritarian systems.   West, in particular, views centralisation as archetypal evidence against creative problem-solving. Critics argue that China’s state-owned, tightly controlled and ideologically motivated apparatus thrives on technological imitation rather than actual innovation. Moreover, an obsession with the quantity of scientific publications, with a bleak focus on quality, misleads the outside world about the potency of the Chinese military. 

Nonetheless, sociological reading of China’s organisational culture says otherwise. Despite the state’s tight grip over organisational agency, the Chinese military considerably enjoys a horizontal degree of flexibility in interpreting and internalising government policies. In other words, PLA’s tactical flexibility cohabits with CCP’s centralised controls. Doug Guthrie termed this phenomenon ‘direct improvisation’, which allows Chinese entities to adapt and innovate rapidly within the realms of central directives.

Besides this, China has established a robust and interlinked cobweb of civilian and military institutions to accomplish its research and development goals. Central to this ecosystem is the Military-Civil Fusion (MCF) strategy, where a combination of small and large-scale institutions has enabled China to lead in 57 of 64 critical technologies. In addition to this, the PLA leverages the strength of China’s Defence Science Ecosystem, where civilian universities play a sizable role in developing critical areas such as stealth missiles and low altitude technologies coupled with modular satellite systems.

Similarly, the Chinese military has transformed its training manuals accordingly. Contrary to West’s assumptions, the PLA employs realistic wargaming scenarios, practising the contingencies it is expected to fight in its strategic backyard. Moreover, the political commissars, who were traditionally viewed as enforcers of Party ideology and discipline, are employed to boost morale and foster cohesion among various ranks. This, in turn, results in the formation of a command structure that supports rapid adaptation in high-speed and rapidly evolving environments.

These trends demonstrate that relying on caricatured judgements of the PLA leads to fatal misjudgements. Turning a blind eye to Chinese strategic culture, classic military texts and how China’s cultural and historical legacies guide the PLA’s contemporary operational art results in a disoriented picture of the Chinese military. In other words, China’s monumental advancements in cutting-edge military technologies underpin its burgeoning military industrial capabilities. Hence the outdated frameworks of the Cold War misinform the Western military watchers about the PLA’s military readiness and operational capabilities.  Shaheer Ahmad is a Research Assistant at the Centre for Aerospace & Security Studies, Islamabad. He can be reached at [email protected]


Share this article

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn

Recent Publications

Browse through the list of recent publications.

The Cover-up: IAF Narrative of the May 2025 Air Battle

Even after one year since the India-Pakistan May war of 2025, the Indian discourse regarding Operation Sindoor remains uncertain under its pretence of restraint. The Pahalgam attack on 22 April, which killed 26 people, triggered an escalatory spiral. New Delhi quickly accused Pakistan-linked elements, while Islamabad refuted the allegation and demanded an independent investigation. On 7 May, India launched attacks deep inside Pakistan under what it later termed as Operation Sindoor. The political motive was intended to turn the crisis into coercive signalling by shifting the blame onto the enemy and projecting a sense of military superiority.
This episode, however, began to fray immediately as war seldom follows the intended script. Within minutes PAF shot down 7 IAF aircraft including 4 Rafales. On 8 May, Reuters reported that at least two Indian aircraft were shot down by a Pakistani J-10C, while the local government sources reported other aircraft crashes in Indian-occupied Jammu and Kashmir

Read More »

Why the IAF’s Post-Sindoor Spending Surge is a Sign of Panic

After Operation Sindoor, India is spending billions of dollars on new weapons. This is being taken by many people as an indication of military prowess. It is not. This rush to procure weapons is in fact an acknowledgement that the Air Force in India had failed to do what it was meant to do. The costly jets and missiles that India had purchased over the years failed to yield the promised results.

Sindoor was soon followed by India in sealing the gaps which the operation had exposed. It was reported that Indian Air Force (IAF) is looking to speed up its purchases of more than 7 billion USD. This will involve other Rafale fighter jets with India already ordering 26 more Rafales to the Navy in 2024 at an estimated cost of about 3.9 billion USD. India is also seeking long-range standoff missiles, Israeli loitering munitions and increased drone capabilities. Special financial powers of the Indian military were activated to issue emergency procurement orders. The magnitude and rate of these purchases speak volumes.

Indian media and defence analysts have over the years considered the Rafale as a game changer. When India purchased 36 Rafales aircrafts at an approximate cost of 8.7 billion USD, analysts vowed that the aircraft would provide India with air superiority over Pakistan. Operation Sindoor disproved all those allegations. Indian aircraft did not even fly in Pakistani airspace when the fighting started. India solely depended on standoff weapons that were launched at a safe distance. The air defence system of Pakistan, comprising of the HQ-9 surface-to-air missile system and its own fighters, stood its ground.

Read More »

May 2025: Mosaic Warfare and the Myth of Centralised Air Power

Visualise a modern-day Air Force commander sitting in the operations room, miles away from the combat zone, overseeing every friendly and enemy aircraft and all assets involved in the campaign. In a split second, he can task a fighter, reposition a drone, and authorise a strike. In today’s promising technological era, he does not even need an operations room; a laptop on his desktop will suffice. The situation looks promising as it offers efficiency, precision, and control. The term used for such operational control is ‘centralisation’, which has been made possible with advanced networking, integrating space, cyber, surveillance, artificial intelligence, and seamless communication, enabling a single commander to manage an entire campaign from a single node. Centralised command and control, championed by the Western air forces and then adopted by many others, has thus been seen as a pinnacle of modern military power.
The concept of centralisation, enabled by state-of-the-art networking, may seem promising, but it is nothing more than a myth.

Read More »