no interest

No More Interest?

At a time when the economy is going through an acute crisis; when households, industries, and the government are all feeling a severe pinch, some scholars have found the time for high-mind “interest-free” economy rulings. Their decree, which pertains to the abolition of usurious practices, is laudable in the abstract, and various government agencies and major banks, including the State Bank’s Islamic Banking Directorate and the National Bank of Pakistan, appear to be on board. To live in a society without usury, which is to say, one without the exploitative extraction of interest, would be a marvel. The problem lies, however, in how utterly detached the ivory-tower pundits pushing for this interest-free economy really are from the functioning of both the normal and informal economy. There are several, and far more important problems that must be remedied before such pharisaic goals are met.

First, there are lending apps, for example, which are growing in Pakistan which actually employ usury, squeezing borrowers from the get-go with exorbitant interest rates, and then using punitive and exploitative measures to extract that interest whenever a borrower fails to repay on time. It was in aiming to prohibit such loan-shark activities that usury came to be forbidden in the Abrahamic traditions in the first place. A recent Securities and Exchange Commission  (SECP) circular has told such loan sharks not to use coercive measures to extract interest from borrowers, but the degree to which this will be followed remains to be seen.

Second, interest rates in Pakistan (and other emerging markets) are high because the embedded risk in the economy tends to be very high. If the risk of investing in the country were low thanks to a more stable and developed financial system, the base interest rate would itself decline. But with the (1) low tax base, (2) low savings rate, (3) large informal economy, (4) rampant dishonest economic practices, and (5) high power-differential among stakeholders in society, the local interest rates must necessarily be high even when the global economy is relatively stable. Nowadays, excess global inflation and the US Fed’s shortsightedness means that interest rates everywhere will have to be even higher than usual.

Third, defaulters on bank loans have a great many protections in the courts, which makes it unattractive for banks to lend to retail borrowers. A person can borrow from the bank, and simply let his case drag on in the courts, with no recourse for the banks to collect. This leaves existing financialization efforts stymied, and banks instead choose to lend to the government at a much lower risk premium. This means that such borrowers themselves are responsible for the stunting of the financial system, and until they adhere to higher standards of creditworthiness, regular or Islamic banks will not solve the problem of under-financialization.

Fourth, society has been afflicted by a short-termism that makes get-rich-quick schemes more rampant, and the ability to violate social trust is such that any semblance of Islamic finance would be utterly alien to it. The impatience of people, particularly young people, is such that they will fall to predatory schemes left, right and centre. This problem cannot be resolved by nominally changing the system; and it requires deeper structural remedies such as (1) promotion of a higher investment rate, (2) a larger tax base, (3) deeper capital markets, (4) tough prosecution of scam-artists, and (5) retaliation against false advertising on social media.

Fifth, the state of corruption in society is such that men will moralize incessantly but proceed to deceive their customers and cheat them six ways to Sunday. They will betray the public trust for narrow private interests, and then use the ill-gotten funds to perform virtue-signaling activities for public view. If this janus-faced attitude prevails then we are no better whether we have one system or the other.

The Pharisees sitting in their seminaries are turning a blind eye to these ground realities. There is no urgency to eradicate interest (instead of usury) which is a basic motor of a market economy. Until a wider paradigm shift in the people’s morality is realized, there is no point prancing about an interest-free system. The people at all levels of society must work with integrity and decency, with the public good and fiduciary duty in mind. When that happens, the financial system will already adhere to the principles of Islam, and there won’t be any need for the Pharisees to rubber-stamp it either.

Dr. Usman W. Chohan is the Director for Economic Affairs and National Development at the Centre for Aerospace & Security Studies (CASS), Islamabad, Pakistan. He can be reached at dir.econ@casstt.com.

Dr Usman W. Chohan

Dr. Usman W. Chohan is an international economist and academic who was one of the founding Directors of CASS, now serving as Advisor to President CASS on Economic Affairs & National Development. He is among the Top 100 Authors across all subjects & disciplines (out of 1.2 million authors) on the Social Science Research Network (SSRN), which is the largest open repository of knowledge in the world. At CASS, he has authored six books in the past five years: (1) Public Value & Budgeting: International Perspectives, (2) Reimagining Public Managers: Delivering Public Value, (3) Public Value and the Digital Economy, (4) Pandemics and Public Value Management, (5) Activist Retail Investors and the Future of Financial Markets (co-edited), and (6) Public Value and the Post-Pandemic Society, all published with Routledge. In the academic realm, his research has been cited widely, and Dr. Chohan has testified before various authorities based on his technical expertise. Dr. Chohan has a PhD in economics from UNSW Australia, where his doctoral work led to the world’s first multidisciplinary synthesis of independent legislative fiscal institutions, and an MBA from McGill University (Canada), with coursework at MIT-Tsinghua. His previous practitioner experience includes working at the National Bank of Canada and the World Bank. He is also the President of the International Association of Hyperpolyglots (HYPIA), the leading organization worldwide for hyperpolyglotism and whose membership consists of the speakers of six or more languages. He appears frequently on domestic and international television, podcasts, and lecture series in various languages. He is also trained in South Asian musicology and plays the sitar. In addition, Dr. Chohan has maintained an annual reading challenge of 100 books every year since 2011. Dr. Chohan’s forthcoming seventh and eighth books are titled Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): Multidisciplinary Perspectives (edited), and Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs): Innovation and Vulnerability in the Digital Economy (co-edited).