5. Shaheer Ahmad-Drone War-Oped thumbnail-May-2026-Rev1-APP (1)

The four-day India-Pakistan conflict saw the emergence of drone warfare as a new strategic reality in the South Asian theatre. Drawing inferences from the Russia-Ukraine war, both sides deployed drones for precision targeting, probing air defences, and performing intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) tasks. The conflict marked a qualitative escalation where unmanned systems were used for coercive targeting besides their utility for tactical surveillance and reconnaissance.

The loss of 7 top-of-the-line fighter aircraft in the initial phase of battle swiftly ended the Indian Air Force (IAF) bid for air dominance, forcing it to retreat to the rear bases. The loss of control of air created a decision dilemma and operational pause for the Indian leadership, compounded by the absence of a coherent strategic direction.

When the IAF realised that it could not compete with PAF in the air, India shifted to an alternative axis of engagement: unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and standoff weapons. With the IAF out of the operational equation, India launched a tri-phased UAV penetration employing coordinated swarming tactics against Pakistan’s Integrated Air Defence System (IADS). In the initial two days, India launched 78 killer drones, including Israeli-made Harop and Polish-made Warmate-3, across multiple target locations in Punjab and Sindh. The intrusion was aimed at restoring tactical advantage, conducting cross-border ISR, gauging the response of Pakistan’s IADS, and locating the camouflaged early warning radars and surface-to-air missile (SAM) sites.

In response, Pakistan intentionally refrained from engaging drones to conceal signatures and locations of its IADS. Instead, it adopted a mix of hard and soft kill measures to intercept or disable the loitering drones. These included the deployment of decoy radars, waiting for drone exhaustion, and subsequently shooting them down below 3000 feet with Oerlikon anti-aircraft guns operated by the PAF and Pakistan Army. On the soft kill side, it is widely believed that Pakistan deployed its indigenous Spider anti-drone system capable of disrupting flight paths and communication jamming.

India’s failure to accomplish suppression of enemy air defence (SEAD) missions compelled it to amend employment tactics. During the early hours of 10 May, the IAF’s Integrated Air Command and Control System (IACCS) and the Indian Army Air Defence Corps launched another wave of drones inside Pakistani territory. Besides performing SEAD missions, the drones were programmed and launched alongside surface-to-surface missiles (SSM) to hit Pakistani airbases and related military infrastructure.

However, none of the drones succeeded in reaching their designated targets. Pakistan’s IADS rendered the UAV incursions ineffective by jamming, spoofing, and mid-air interceptions. The successful interceptions demonstrated the efficacy of Pakistan’s air defence grid, including its ability to detect low radar cross-section (RCS) targets with surgical precision. These operational failures created pressure in Indian decision-making cycles and exposed Indian operational vulnerabilities.

Pakistan also launched drones against numerous targets inside India in the early hours of 10 May. According to Indian sources, Pakistani drones loitered at 26 locations, along with reports of them being sighted at New Delhi and Gujarat for several hours. Primarily, Pakistan employed Yiha-III and Asisguard Songor drones, which mounted a proportionate and cost-effective response while maintaining the escalation threshold. These drones conducted precision strikes on the Indian airfields, logistics hubs, and related infrastructure.

Besides the military utility, a significant aim of deploying UAVs was to inflict psychological damage on the public morale. Indian planners anticipated that loitering drones with hovering sounds would cause panic among the civilian populations. However, the drones became a source of public amusement and curiosity. Graphics and visuals from digital media showcased civilians intercepting drones with rudimentary air guns along with security forces, and collecting the pieces of wreckage as war trophies. Contrary to the Indian expectations, the Pakistani public demonstrated a unified and resilient national character in times of crisis.

Overall, the drone incursions in the 2025 conflict demonstrated an alternative form of airpower. With less political and operational threshold of action, drones provided a cost-efficient way of precision targeting and ISR without risking the manned platforms. Despite India’s numerical superiority, PAF’s calibrated employment of drones turned out to be a comprehensive success for Pakistan at operational and tactical levels. This also points to the emergence of a new operational reality where drones would serve as a potential weapon of choice for both parties in the tense operational environment.

Shaheer Ahmad is a Research Assistant at the Centre for Aerospace & Security Studies, Islamabad. The article was first published in Global Defence Insight.He can be reached at [email protected]


Share this article

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn

Recent Publications

Browse through the list of recent publications.

Debunking the S-400 Shield: Lessons from the India-Pakistan Conflict

Air defense has always been a central aspect of warfare. In South Asia, the phenomenon carries immense significance due to compressed reaction times. In this context, one of the most-hyped systems is the Russian-made S-400, touted by New Delhi as a one-stop solution to counter aerial threats from both Pakistan and China.
The 2025 conflict between India and Pakistan marked an important chapter in testing the S-400 technology. The conflict began on May 7, when India attacked what it alleged were terrorist targets in both Pakistani-held Kashmir and Pakistan proper, using drone and missile strikes. The conflict lasted for four days, culminating in a U.S-facilitated ceasefire. However, the brief conflict debunked a lot of the myths regarding the S-400 technology.
First, India claimed that the mobile S-400 would be able to control Pakistan’s airspace. In contrast, Pakistani aircraft continued to operate freely, according to official briefings by the Pakistani military. Although the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) aircraft were in their own airspace, they were still within the air defense range.

Read More »

The Air War of May 2025: Every Kill Verified

On 7 May 2025, 114 combat aircraft clashed in what has been described as one of the largest beyond visual range (BVR) air engagements since WWII During the 52-minute aerial battle triggered by India’s Operation Sindoor, traditional visual confirmation of kills became difficult. Missile impacts occurred at unprecedented ranges from 160 km to 190 km, often beyond the horizon, while claims and counter-claims continued to spread rapidly across social media platforms, amplified by unverified facts and AI-produced imageries. Amid this torrent of conflicting claims, determining what actually happened was as disputed as the battle itself.
Amidst this fog of confusion, Pakistan’s clear and unambiguous claims backed by published evidence as well as openness to independent verification provided a welcome breath of clarity. As the prevalence of BVR battles increases and the spread of disinformation continues to outpace verified data in shaping both domestic opinion and international perceptions

Read More »

May 2025: The Largest BVR Engagement in South Asian Air Warfare

The tale of how the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) and the Indian Air Force (IAF) entered the era of Beyond Visual Range (BVR) air combat spanned decades before it came to its culmination on the night of 7 May 2025. For almost 50 years after partition, the PAF and IAF engaged each other in close-distance dogfights. Pilots would often recognize the tail markings on the fighter aircraft they were attempting to shoot down with their short-range guns and heat-seeking missiles. As such, all aerial engagements during the wars of 1965 and 1971 were conducted within visual range. The technological enablers for BVR engagements and corresponding doctrines did not develop in South Asia until the 2000s.
In BVR air combat, the first one to see, lock on, and fire their missiles wins the engagement. Initially, the IAF had the ‘First Look, First Shot’ advantage. PAF’s fighter aircraft were capable but carried missiles with limited range, hindering effective long-range engagements

Read More »