indopacific_contest

In international politics, there have been periods of mistrust, suspicion and coercion between different states. In the present day, states’ behaviour is an example of the same pattern. During the previous century, Japan and Australia experienced a relationship of mistrust, parallel to the same pattern of uncertainty and ambiguity. Presently the two nations find themselves, not only in a new and refined sphere of sharing the same values, but also increasing the scope for military cooperation. A hypothesis, which can be proved wrong is that Australia and Japan are entering into new realms of strategic cooperation attempting a balancing policy initiative vis-à-vis China.

In 2007, Japan and Australia inked an agreement known as the Joint Declaration on Security Cooperation.  The agreement ensured collaboration between the two states in multiple domains, specifically law enforcement, military exercises and peace operations. The treaty, while vigorous, ceases just short of a Security Treaty that would place the two in a security alliance. To express their cordial relationship, Japan and Australia used the phrase ‘special strategic partnership’. In 2017, both countries jointly opposed the provocative actions of North Korea and highlighted their shared values. In a meeting with his counterpart, Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Julie Bishop declared the two states as “the most like-minded nations in the Indo-Pacific”. In 2018, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Australia’s premier Malcolm Turnbull discussed bilateral engagement for better defence cooperation and to reaffirm their commitment to foster bilateral ties while reemphasizing their shared values. Another step to enhance bilateral cooperation was an initiative for improved military agreement named Reciprocal Access Agreement for conducting collaborative military exercises. During the same year, a new strategy was outlined in ‘Japan’s National Defence Program Guidelines’ with an emphasis to seek a new dimension in strengthening existing security ties with the US, but with an enhanced vision of cooperation with other states as well. The guidelines have extensively highlighted Chinese military aims, the North Korea factor and Russian military developments, to justify a sheer need to increase investment in the Japanese military.

Japan’s rebalancing approach is the outcome of the changing regional situation combined with North Korea’s disruptive behaviour and China’s visible military advances. Another factor that played a significant role in changing Tokyo’s diversification approach in terms of military cooperation was the statements of American president Donald Trump in which he routinely attacked the policies of most of America’s allies. Realizing the need for strategic engagement and military cooperation at an expansive level, Japan has a developed agenda to collaborate with potential security partners namely Australia, India, the United Kingdom, New Zealand and South Korea. Additionally, the relationship with Russia and China is another option for Japan to create a stable regional security environment. While Japan is critically analysing regional developments and China’s active role in Asia Pacific has forced the country to adopt immediate counterbalancing measures, Australia’s policies are more independent. Australian trade with China has a big ratio as compared to Japan and there are no formidable threats of any territorial dispute between China and Australia. Nevertheless, Australia has always considered the US as the supreme strategic ally in the region, which was mentioned in the Australian Defence White Paper, published in 2016. In the current regional paradox, Australia has stressed the need for establishing strategic partnerships with India, Japan, Indonesia and others. Australia and Japan, both view China as a nation of great strategic importance but its geostrategic power sets it apart from being recognized as a sole power broker. In most of their defence documents, Australian and Japanese officials tend to use a more cautious language which signifies trends of low acceptability of China as an ally.

In the past, the ‘alliance-oriented’ approach of America created a different type of security infrastructure in Asia Pacific. The current US policy of disengagement from its traditional alliance infrastructure has provided extended options for other powers to fill the void. As it was witnessed, the moves by China and Russia to take over global responsibilities was the outcome of US negligence to act as a key global player, the changes within the alliance infrastructure of the US is an example of a similar development. The regional conundrum of Asia Pacific is entering a new phase where alliance formation is becoming more prone to existential threats for states, and this might make Asia Pacific a far tenser region.


Share this article

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn

Recent Publications

Browse through the list of recent publications.

The US-Israel War on Iran: Objectives, Strategy, and Escalation Management

Zahra Niazi
‘States tend to overestimate themselves or the benefits and swiftness of war, and to underestimate their opponents’ capabilities, intentions, or the costs and duration of war.’ If anything, the 2026 war initiated by the United States and Israel against Iran shall be remembered in the annals of warfare among the most visible manifestations of this dynamic.
The war, immediately preceded by the January mass protests in Iran, did not represent a sudden rupture but rather the continuation of a 47-year-long confrontation and a more intense phase of the June 2025 war.
The US Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, defined the war’s objectives as being laser-focused: to destroy Iran’s missile capabilities and its security infrastructure, while ensuring that it could never develop nuclear weapons. Beyond these stated objectives, among the priorities on the continuum also lay the objective of regime change, with both President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu explicitly calling on the Iranian population to take over the government at the outset of the war.

Read More »

Marka-e-Haq to the Peace Talks: Pakistan’s Middle Power Status

On 7th May 2025, Pakistan’s military forces took the international security community by surprise when it demonstrated operational superiority against its larger belligerent adversary India with its rapid and coordinated response. The Four-Day conflict proved to be a watershed moment for Pakistan, marking its rapid emergence as an important player in the region. In recent years, amidst the ongoing global competition between the United States and China, Islamabad has adopted a position of ’Strategic Balancing,’ where it maintains ties of cooperation with both Beijing and Washington. Deft diplomacy, emphasis on geo-economics, and credible conventional and strategic deterrence have remained the foundational pillars for Pakistan’s ambition as a rising middle power

Read More »

Debunking the S-400 Shield: Lessons from the India-Pakistan Conflict

Air defense has always been a central aspect of warfare. In South Asia, the phenomenon carries immense significance due to compressed reaction times. In this context, one of the most-hyped systems is the Russian-made S-400, touted by New Delhi as a one-stop solution to counter aerial threats from both Pakistan and China.
The 2025 conflict between India and Pakistan marked an important chapter in testing the S-400 technology. The conflict began on May 7, when India attacked what it alleged were terrorist targets in both Pakistani-held Kashmir and Pakistan proper, using drone and missile strikes. The conflict lasted for four days, culminating in a U.S-facilitated ceasefire. However, the brief conflict debunked a lot of the myths regarding the S-400 technology.
First, India claimed that the mobile S-400 would be able to control Pakistan’s airspace. In contrast, Pakistani aircraft continued to operate freely, according to official briefings by the Pakistani military. Although the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) aircraft were in their own airspace, they were still within the air defense range.

Read More »